Sick-Lighting
0x8bb9e061032872b7c3f9678e6d7da287181b53f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
127
Open notional
$19.92
Total PnL
$-225.79
Realised
$11.95
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 127- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
157 shares @ 3.5¢·now 3.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.78
$-0.72
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1805 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.71
$-4.58
- NO
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$2.08
$0.73
- NO
Will GV CD San José win on 2026-05-22?
3 shares @ 71.5¢·now 69.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$2.05
$-0.07
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
169 shares @ 2.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.86
$-2.83
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
30 shares @ 1.6¢·now 4.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.44
$0.98
- NO
Will ADC Juan Pablo II College win on 2026-05-22?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.32
$0.29
- NO
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$1.09
$-0.01
- NO
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-05-23?
2 shares @ 70.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.06
$-0.01
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.66
$-0.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-05-23?$1.08May 22, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?$1.11May 22, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GV CD San José win on 2026-05-22?$1.11May 22, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.12May 22, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.56May 22, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pharco FC win on 2026-05-22?$2.09May 22, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Peñarol win on 2026-05-21?$5.88May 22, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GV CD San José win on 2026-05-22?$1.03May 22, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ADC Juan Pablo II College win on 2026-05-22?$1.04May 22, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pharco FC win on 2026-05-22?$1.70May 22, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill El Gouna SC win on 2026-05-22?$1.60May 22, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-21?$1.12May 22, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Peñarol win on 2026-05-21?$2.04May 22, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?$1.36May 22, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.15May 22, 01:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$12.27May 22, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-19?$1.78May 22, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-19?$1.08Apr 19, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.08Apr 19, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?$1.22Apr 5, 22:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 22:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 22:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".