Key-Gesture
0x8bc1548c4525103c43b5ab262846393ed31ddb1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-336.55
Realised
$-84.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 4?
1628 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 2?
1612 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?
1011 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 3?
973 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
882 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 1?
736 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?
589 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
418 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
340 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
100 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?$0.47May 17, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$0.79May 17, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$27.98May 17, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$66.53May 17, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$360.45May 17, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$408.00May 17, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.8KMay 17, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$6.7KMay 17, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$1.00May 16, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$40.00May 16, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$50.00May 16, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$50.00May 16, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.6KMay 16, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$8.27May 16, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$9.14May 16, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$9.14May 16, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$9.14May 16, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$9.14May 16, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$9.15May 16, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$200.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $408.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 02:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 08:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.