Failing-Willingness
0x8bc3b31ae64a53d08a305bb7e4c750208060d100
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-660.87
Realised
$-7.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
2372 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-606.74
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
183 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.99
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
50 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
15 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-6.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$612.29Jan 26, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$15.90Jan 26, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$603.87Jan 26, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$457.52Jan 26, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$463.20Jan 26, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$405.67Jan 26, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$405.66Jan 26, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$393.97Jan 26, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$381.59Jan 26, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$260.00Jan 26, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$278.16Jan 26, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$275.67Jan 26, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$16.21Jan 26, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$50.00Jan 26, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$46.20Jan 26, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$5.38Jan 26, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$8.70Jan 26, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$19.52Jan 26, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$285.54Jan 26, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$237.80Jan 26, 09:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $117.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 08:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 11:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".