Fixed-Puzzle
0x8bc6d773775e735b5cec8e94cc217f9e3f509411
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$47.15
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$25.27
$15.16
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 18?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$21.88
$12.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
539 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-197.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
496 shares @ 57.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-282.91
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
440 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-99.24
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
336 shares @ 58.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-195.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
230 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-59.53
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
218 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-19.96
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
197 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-33.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
170 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-49.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$10.00Mar 18, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$10.00Mar 18, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$10.00Mar 18, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$4.13Mar 18, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$28.20Mar 18, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$10.26Mar 18, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$10.00Mar 18, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$10.00Mar 18, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$10.00Mar 18, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$10.00Mar 18, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$4.14Mar 18, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$10.00Mar 18, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$26.66Mar 18, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$41.89Mar 18, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$10.00Mar 18, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$10.00Mar 18, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$10.00Mar 18, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$38.99Mar 18, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$28.00Mar 18, 06:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $21.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 03:33 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 08:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".