Double-Carbon
0x8bcb8580aeb33d352823816a4200de362c046c8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
6143 shares @ 33.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
1109 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
1053 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
1029 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-35.87
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
1025 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-161.26
- YES
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?
745 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-102.12
- YES
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?
661 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-104.76
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
571 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
552 shares @ 72.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
510 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-56.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?$11.65Jan 21, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$11.65Jan 21, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.0KDec 23, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$157.50Dec 10, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$181.37Dec 8, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$273.97Dec 4, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$1.1KDec 4, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.0KDec 3, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$584.30Dec 3, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$0.23Dec 1, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$994.76Nov 26, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$994.76Nov 26, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.9KNov 25, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$1.9KNov 25, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$2.0KNov 25, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sydney Sweeney be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$2.84Nov 25, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Baluta finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?$100.00Nov 25, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$200.00Nov 24, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$200.00Nov 24, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$200.00Nov 24, 12:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $440.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 23, 02:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 22:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".