Defiant-Rail
0x8bd85c2208e08ad757b7e39c6c9fa9ff63b758a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$138.79
Total PnL
$-602.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
137 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$136.99
$36.99
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
213 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.81
$-98.19
- YES
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?
3423 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-291.12
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
1640 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
364 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$100.00Mar 1, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$100.00Mar 1, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?$71.43Feb 28, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$96.15Feb 28, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$263.16Feb 28, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$100.00Feb 28, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$100.00Feb 28, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$25.00Feb 27, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$25.00Feb 27, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?$25.00Feb 27, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$25.00Feb 27, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$25.00Feb 27, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$25.00Feb 27, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?$200.00Jan 15, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?$91.12Jan 15, 04:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $70.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 04:35 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 16:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.