Lighthearted-Eardrum
0x8bda9b219a53c7852ab750298b0b64d4d202c3b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$7.36
Total PnL
$-3.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
4 shares @ 76.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.83
$0.83
- YES
Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?
4 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$3.53
$0.53
- YES
Will Donald Trump's tie be red?
4 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Ethereum above $2,600 on November 1?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump's tie be red?$3.00Feb 27, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$3.00Feb 27, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$3.00Feb 27, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?$2.22Feb 27, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3.02Feb 27, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin new all time high in 2024?$3.23Feb 27, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin new all time high in 2024?$3.00Oct 30, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,600 on November 1?$2.00Oct 30, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?$2.00Oct 30, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.00Oct 30, 06:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $2.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 06:55 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 08:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.