Flippant-Billboard
0x8bdccb66de94c88e503756f2f3b1be4898a9d7f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$111.50
Total PnL
$-721.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
200 shares @ 76.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$101.00
$-51.00
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
30 shares @ 69.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$10.50
$-10.20
- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 24-30?
700 shares @ 77.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-542.80
- NO
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-90.00
- NO
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
30 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-27.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?$25.39Jun 3, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in April 2026?$50.00May 7, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in April 2026?$112.14May 7, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?$157.27May 7, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?$43.48Mar 31, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?$46.52Mar 31, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?$20.78Mar 31, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?$152.00Mar 29, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 24-30?$40.26Mar 29, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 24-30?$11.74Mar 29, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 24-30?$20.36Mar 29, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 24-30?$34.64Mar 29, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 24-30?$95.56Mar 28, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 24-30?$73.20Mar 28, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 24-30?$3.05Mar 28, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 24-30?$264.00Mar 28, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 26?$0.00Mar 28, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 26?$0.00Mar 28, 10:04 UTC
- MERGEWill Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in April 2026?$129.68Mar 28, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 26?$100.00Mar 28, 10:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $51.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 10:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 20:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.