Puzzling-Craft
0x8be0f3c671d203d00ee51ad7e482277ba006e539
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$4.60
Total PnL
$1.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$2.86
$1.86
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.75
$0.23
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
12 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.52Feb 3, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?$1.00Feb 3, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$1.00Feb 3, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch?$0.00Feb 3, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nancy Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$0.00Feb 3, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$0.00Feb 3, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$0.00Feb 3, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$0.00Feb 3, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$0.00Feb 3, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike 0 countries in 2026?$0.00Feb 3, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?$1.01Feb 3, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch?$1.00Dec 11, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLRussian strike on Poland by December 31?$3.22Dec 11, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$0.00Dec 11, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$2.80Dec 5, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 0 countries in 2026?$1.00Dec 5, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nancy Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$1.00Dec 5, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$1.00Dec 5, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$1.00Dec 5, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$1.00Dec 5, 13:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $6.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 10:29 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 08:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.