Total-Ceramic
0x8be19a598c4d325014171b63df7e25e39491ebab
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$59.03
Total PnL
$-78.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5?
59 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$59.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 April 27-May 3?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
840 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.68
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
710 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 4?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 12?
384 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on December 8?
300 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5?$59.00Jun 4, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?$59.06Jun 1, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?$59.00Jun 1, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026?$59.06May 25, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026?$59.00May 24, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 23?$59.06May 23, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 23?$59.00May 21, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?$15.02May 12, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?$44.04May 9, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?$44.00May 9, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?$2.14May 9, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?$15.00May 9, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?$61.06May 9, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?$61.00May 6, 13:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?$2.00May 6, 13:52 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$60.33May 6, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?$2.00May 3, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 April 27-May 3?$2.14May 3, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$59.30May 3, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 28?$62.06May 3, 11:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $41.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 08:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 12:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".