Damaged-Usual-Tangerine
0x8be1bf7e8e0ac22efb7b4af3d2d2abe8430df05d
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$142.91
Total PnL
$-345.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1039 shares @ 29.5¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$129.92
$-176.54
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1731 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$12.98
$-114.39
- YES
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco?
1600 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
80 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
54 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
39 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$19.22Jun 14, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$10.16Jun 13, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil to score first vs. Morocco?$1.03Jun 13, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil to score first vs. Morocco?$3.09Jun 13, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$10.21Jun 13, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil to score first vs. Morocco?$3.09Jun 13, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$0.00Jun 13, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$0.00Jun 13, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$6.10Jun 12, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$6.13Jun 12, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$20.45Jun 12, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$27.66Jun 10, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$20.67Jun 10, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$57.03Jun 10, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$47.40Jun 9, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$4.86Jun 5, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$4.27Jun 5, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$1.07Jun 5, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$0.03Jun 5, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$0.00Jun 5, 03:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $15.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 00:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.