Untried-Cacao
0x8be93cb2072fe2e60d673ba044461231a82f5438
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-234.91
Realised
$1.13
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 February 23-March 1?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 21?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
3500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 23-March 1?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 14?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 7?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.15Apr 27, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.05Apr 27, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.07Apr 24, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.12Apr 24, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.01Apr 24, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.41Apr 24, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.08Apr 24, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.07Apr 24, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.04Apr 24, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.02Apr 24, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.19Apr 24, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avanza País – Partido de Integración Social (AvP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?$0.12Apr 23, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avanza País – Partido de Integración Social (AvP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?$0.88Apr 23, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.02Apr 22, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?$0.20Apr 22, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.14Apr 22, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.04Apr 22, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Somos Perú (SP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?$0.97Apr 22, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Somos Perú (SP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?$0.00Apr 22, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Somos Perú (SP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?$0.00Apr 22, 06:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 14:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".