Pessimistic-Fallacy
0x8bf6746720f9390ee4432c2f0e83378a04bfe3cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$17.66
Total PnL
$2.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill US sell Silk Road BTC before election?$5.81Nov 12, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump launch a coin before the election?$0.00Nov 4, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel invade Lebanon before November?$0.00Nov 4, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $60,000 on October 1?$5.81Nov 4, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk bans Apple devices at his companies?$5.00Sep 24, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple invest in OpenAI in 2024?$5.00Sep 24, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYPavel Durov leaves France in 2024?$5.00Sep 24, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US sell Silk Road BTC before election?$5.00Sep 24, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump launch a coin before the election?$5.00Sep 24, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $60,000 on October 1?$5.00Sep 24, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel invade Lebanon before November?$5.00Sep 24, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran blame Israel for helicopter crash?$0.00May 25, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill ETH hit $4k by Friday?$14.71May 25, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ETH hit $4k by Friday?$10.00May 21, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran blame Israel for helicopter crash?$5.00May 21, 07:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $5.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 07:06 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 12, 09:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".