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0x8bf8aa603bad7fae86e4e94007e8e921b2ebea6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.48
Realised
$0.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will less than 100 million people watch Super Bowl LIX?
80 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by February 28, 2025?
69 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
23 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 15, 3PM ET
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - January 15, 4PM ET$3.00Jan 15, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.17Jan 15, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 15, 4PM ET$1.00Jan 15, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 15, 4PM ET$1.00Jan 15, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.00Jan 15, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 15, 3PM ET$1.02Jan 15, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - January 15, 3PM ET$1.67Jan 15, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - January 15, 3PM ET$1.54Jan 15, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 15, 3PM ET$1.00Jan 15, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$2.27Jan 15, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$1.00Jan 15, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 15, 3PM ET$1.00Jan 15, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$1.00Jan 15, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill less than 100 million people watch Super Bowl LIX?$2.00Feb 6, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?$2.00Feb 6, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?$2.00Feb 6, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$2.00Feb 6, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?$2.00Feb 6, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$2.00Feb 6, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by February 28, 2025?$2.00Feb 6, 00:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 00:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 22:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".