Gray-Holiday
0x8bf9311ec4293725d5e447736a4a37705f7ead31
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$350.23
Total PnL
$-21.87
Realised
$0.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
220 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$220.00
$0.88
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
130 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$130.23
$0.49
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
198 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- NO
Will Dow Jones (DJI) close over 44,000 on Friday of the week of Nov 10 – Nov 14?
190 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.14
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
145 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-6.37
- YES
Will the Union for National Progress win the most seats in the 2025 Burundian parliamentary election?
140 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.12
- YES
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-04-03?
124 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will Ben Griffin win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?
72 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.59
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $126,000 on October 13?
70 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.82
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?$49.85Apr 9, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?$49.90Apr 9, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?$3.50Apr 8, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?$3.50Apr 7, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-04-03?$3.60Apr 3, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$129.74Mar 26, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$219.12Mar 26, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$1.12Mar 23, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo visit Germany first?$18.00Feb 15, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$230.93Feb 15, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.40Dec 9, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$6.37Nov 30, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$0.20Nov 23, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$227.47Nov 22, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dow Jones (DJI) close over 44,000 on Friday of the week of Nov 10 – Nov 14?$1.14Nov 13, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) close over 5,850 on Friday of the week of Nov 10 – Nov 14?$159.36Nov 13, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) close over 5,850 on Friday of the week of Nov 10 – Nov 14?$159.84Nov 13, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$199.40Nov 13, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$199.80Nov 13, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?$50.05Oct 30, 10:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $150.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 12:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 08:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.