Messy-Tabletop
0x8bfec96c825ce32e002a66fd2fbb6a80c837f65d
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$1.33
Total PnL
$-15.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Trump say "Kamala" this week? (February 8)
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$1.33
$0.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on January 30?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on January 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 30?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" this week? (February 8)$1.08Jan 30, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -11°C or below on February 1?$0.46Jan 30, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -11°C or below on February 1?$1.00Jan 30, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on January 30?$1.00Jan 30, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -3°C on January 31?$1.00Jan 30, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -4°C or below on January 31?$1.00Jan 30, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on January 30?$2.00Jan 30, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?$1.00Jan 30, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 30, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Jan 30, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$1.00Jan 30, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 30?$1.00Jan 30, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?$1.00Jan 30, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$1.00Jan 30, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$3.00Jan 30, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$1.00Jan 30, 12:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 12:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 21:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".