Salty-Wording-Breadcrumb
0x8bfee7aeca33003fe9d7398d5143dc7866542d74
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-549.6K
Realised
$-7.9K
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- JOAO FONSECA
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca
211966 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-142.0K
- YES
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
70000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-14.0K
- YES
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?
61000 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.3K
- YES
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?
44444 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-6.7K
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
41064 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-31.6K
- SPURS
Knicks vs. Spurs
39218 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.1K
- CAVALIERS
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
33716 shares @ 53.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-18.2K
- YES
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?
32258 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.0K
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
32019 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-26.3K
- BEN SHELTON
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Shelton
27460 shares @ 74.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-20.3K
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$11.52Jul 10, 00:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$40.36Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$21.1KJul 9, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$14.9KJul 9, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$17.16Jul 9, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$12.41Jul 9, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$4.68Jul 9, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$15.79Jul 9, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$15.13Jul 9, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$9.94Jul 9, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$572.18Jul 9, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$33.53Jul 9, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$3.09Jul 9, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$157.89Jul 9, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$18.87Jul 9, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$7.68Jul 9, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$456.05Jul 9, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$195.00Jul 9, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$4.0KJul 9, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$139.84Jul 9, 21:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$307.4K
Trades
7
Buy share
45%
Window
May 18, 18:20 UTC → Jul 3, 22:32 UTC
- BUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?$6.7K@95¢Jul 3, 22:32 UTC
- BUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?$6.1K@77¢Jul 2, 16:36 UTC
- SELLWill Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$44.4K@100¢Jun 24, 23:56 UTC
- SELLUFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)$21.6K@99¢Jun 15, 01:36 UTC
- BUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$5.5K@48¢Jun 14, 19:37 UTC
- BUYRoland Garros ATP: Valentin Royer vs Novak Djokovic$6.6K@91¢May 27, 13:55 UTC
- SELLWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?$10.6K@95¢May 19, 20:42 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 18 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$6.7K
1 trades
30d volume
$84.3K
5 trades
Buy share
45%
Sample
medium
18 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Roland Garros ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alexander Zverev
$63.3K · 21% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.7K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 13:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.