Vibrant-Mussel
0x8c00805a0f0d54cbdd2fa72d62233f58ca29f516
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$80.88
Total PnL
$-139.36
Realised
$281.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?
81 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$80.88
$25.88
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?
1200 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-136.80
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?
368 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-106.00
- YES
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?
202 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-129.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
160 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
68 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?$102.86Mar 2, 00:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$114.81Mar 2, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$55.00Feb 26, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$383.33Feb 26, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?$51.00Feb 20, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$31.00Feb 20, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?$36.00Feb 16, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?$136.80Oct 4, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $126k in October?$106.00Oct 4, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$230.00Sep 29, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?$362.26Sep 29, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?$60.00Aug 14, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$62.80Aug 14, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $125K in July?$40.14Aug 14, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?$185.61Aug 14, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.69Jul 24, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$25.02Jul 24, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $125K in July?$23.76Jul 24, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$80.01Jul 24, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?$76.00Jul 24, 19:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $71.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 05:55 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 00:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.