Grizzled-Mailbox
0x8c04b90bfbd7f647b75269189a8dabf37d973d78
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$5.45
Total PnL
$-16.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
102 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.45
$0.11
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
5192 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.6K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
3011 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.44Mar 23, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.90Mar 23, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)$1.05Mar 23, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$2.02Mar 23, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grok 4.20 not be released by February 14, 2026?$2.17Mar 23, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)$1.00Feb 4, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$2.00Feb 4, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$2.00Feb 4, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok 4.20 not be released by February 14, 2026?$2.00Feb 4, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$1.01Feb 4, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.02Feb 4, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.03Feb 4, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.09Feb 4, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Dec 12, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$1.00Dec 1, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.00Nov 29, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$6.0KNov 20, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$0.50Nov 20, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$35.00Nov 20, 02:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $472.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 11:40 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 11:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".