0x8c09f7dc9f9110fc443fbc210a03dce04468d40b
0x8c09f7dc9f9110fc443fbc210a03dce04468d40b
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$5.62
Total PnL
$-5.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Supreme Court term limits in 2024?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$3.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Biden finish his term?
2 shares @ 82.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$2.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?
67 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 50.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Oct 31?
1 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Pocahontas" during Las Vegas rally on October 24?$0.00Oct 28, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Pocahontas" during Las Vegas rally on October 24?$1.42Oct 24, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?$1.41Oct 24, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?$0.24Oct 20, 20:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during Fox News interview? $0.00Oct 20, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during Fox News interview? $0.60Oct 15, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during California rally on October 12?$0.00Oct 15, 19:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "trans" during California rally on October 12?$0.85Oct 15, 19:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "god" 10 or more times during California rally on October 12?$0.00Oct 15, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "trans" during California rally on October 12?$0.73Oct 12, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "god" 10 or more times during California rally on October 12?$0.50Oct 12, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during California rally on October 12?$1.00Oct 12, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tax" 10 or more times during Michigan rally?$0.00Oct 11, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Trans" during Michigan rally?$0.00Oct 9, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Million" 10 or more times during Michigan rally?$0.00Oct 9, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "debate" during Michigan rally?$2.22Oct 3, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tax" 10 or more times during Michigan rally?$0.56Oct 2, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Israel" during the debate?$0.56Oct 2, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trans" during Michigan rally?$0.48Oct 2, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "debate" during Michigan rally?$2.00Oct 2, 19:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 19, 13:58 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 28, 17:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".