Troubled-Day
0x8c0b2ae7f1c91507ab376db8c47beff43924b0d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-199.20
Realised
$-59.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
4817 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.99
- YES
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
85 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-45.87
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in December 2025?
81 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in December 2025?
72 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in December 2025?
70 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?
44 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?
39 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
39 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in December 2025?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$4.17Dec 5, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$7.82Dec 5, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 5, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 5, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?$2.00Dec 4, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$1.00Dec 4, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on December 4?$3.00Dec 4, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Dec 4, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 3, 7AM ET$1.00Dec 3, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Dec 2, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Dec 2, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$1.05Dec 2, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$10.00Dec 2, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in December 2025?$10.00Dec 2, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in December 2025?$10.00Dec 2, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in December 2025?$10.00Dec 2, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$20.00Dec 2, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?$77.80Dec 2, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$0.00Dec 1, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$45.87Nov 30, 22:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $24.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 08:55 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 5, 23:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".