Reflecting-Bonding
0x8c0b895aeb878dbea8503a83f5f9bf68874e2334
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-38.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will DSVL win the most seats in the 2024 Lithuania legislative election?
10 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2024$0.00
$-0.05
- YES
Will $BTC reach 80k before October?
10 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-0.05
- YES
Will Trump lead in RCP on Oct 4?
10 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will another party win the most seats in the 2024 Austrian legislative election?
10 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2024$0.00
$-0.04
- YES
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will another party win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?
10 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2024$0.00
$-0.03
- YES
Will Nottingham Forest beat Fulham?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Trump be Speaker by October 1?
10 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Newcastle beat Manchester City?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
$BTC dips below $40k before October?
10 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$2.00Jan 29, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEM5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025? $1.00Jan 29, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUY5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025? $1.00Dec 15, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.91Dec 15, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.90Dec 4, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?$1.05Dec 4, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$0.93Dec 4, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$6.61Dec 3, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?$1.00Dec 2, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa FC win on 2025-11-27?$1.00Dec 2, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2025-11-27?$1.01Dec 2, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-11-27?$1.01Dec 2, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-11-27?$1.01Dec 2, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)$1.02Dec 2, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-27?$1.02Dec 2, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: SC Braga (-1.5)$1.03Dec 2, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-11-27?$1.00Nov 27, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-11-27?$1.00Nov 27, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: SC Braga (-1.5)$1.00Nov 27, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)$1.00Nov 27, 20:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 12:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 29, 12:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.