Favorable-Pillow
0x8c12a701136200b356eebd84e7604ea0a766dd7d
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$8.96
Total PnL
$-76.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 25.5¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.03
$-0.97
- NO
Will "The Smashing Machine" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 11m?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $180 on October 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UAB
UAB vs. Tennessee
51 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- OVER
TCU vs. West Virginia: O/U 55.5
41 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-40.05
- COMMANDERS
Commanders vs. Eagles
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- TEAM SECRET WHALES
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs FlyQuest (BO1)
14 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- SAINTS
Saints vs. Bills
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- BROWNS
Browns vs. Lions
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Monte vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$2.27May 12, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$3.23May 12, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rare Atom (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A$2.00May 12, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Monte vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$2.01May 12, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$1.02May 12, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill White House post 180-199 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$5.05May 1, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 180-199 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$5.00May 1, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 12?$10.01May 1, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.00Mar 12, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 12?$10.00Mar 12, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $70 on February 27?$5.00Mar 12, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMNetflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 27?$10.11Mar 12, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.00Feb 27, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on February 27?$5.00Feb 27, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 27?$10.00Feb 27, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 19?$11.54Nov 25, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 19?$1.00Nov 19, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 19?$10.00Nov 19, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 10 above $240?$20.02Nov 19, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 10 above $240?$20.00Nov 11, 15:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $7.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 2, 03:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 13:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".