Warm-Study
0x8c1d2c151fda09debc295c6da23d186fb20fdf27
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-160.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 7PM ET
159 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.39
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 26?
148 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.18
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 17?
116 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.62
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 13?
109 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 11?
102 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 27?
101 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 19?
99 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.67
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.10 on January 22?
97 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.18
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 29?
91 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.36
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 26?
89 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.69
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?$192.63Jun 1, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?$188.97May 31, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 26?$1.26May 25, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 25?$2.10May 24, 23:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 19?$233.27May 19, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 19?$0.27May 19, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 19?$230.67May 19, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 19?$3.91May 18, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 9?$166.13May 9, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 8?$236.00May 8, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 9?$163.97May 8, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 8?$0.29May 8, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 8?$234.06May 8, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 27?$201.11Apr 27, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 27?$199.30Apr 27, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 21?$202.00Apr 27, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 21?$199.98Apr 21, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 14?$195.87Apr 19, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - April 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.47Apr 14, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 14?$194.30Apr 14, 09:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $83.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 03:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 21:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.