Ideal-Metric
0x8c1d37f165e2c6ab018755c8708be0510e1b52f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$7.85
Total PnL
$-192.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
9 shares @ 65.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.85
$1.85
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
267 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
US government shutdown in 2025?
132 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Yemen 2 times by September 30?
128 shares @ 31.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will Netanyahu say "Hamas" 15+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?
72 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on September 26?
65 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
63 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Netanyahu say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?
62 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
21 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?$31.75Jan 3, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran before 2026?$9.00Sep 29, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown in 2025?$25.00Sep 26, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$20.00Sep 26, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netanyahu say "Iran" 25+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?$53.33Sep 26, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$6.00Sep 26, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu say "Iran" 25+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?$20.00Sep 26, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu say "Iran" 25+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?$20.00Sep 26, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on September 26?$20.00Sep 26, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?$20.00Sep 26, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$40.00Sep 26, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?$15.64Sep 26, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu say "Hamas" 15+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?$20.00Sep 26, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Yemen 2 times by September 30?$40.00Sep 26, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?$20.00Sep 26, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?$40.00Sep 26, 12:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $22.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 26, 12:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 04:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".