Well-Lit-Demur
0x8c1e07e341bc7cace7bd05dfbb82ebb441f0494c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-273.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on January 31?
197 shares @ 98.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-194.27
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 27?
191 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on July 1?
181 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.63
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 17?
159 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 24?
128 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on January 22?
125 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.88
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 4AM ET
123 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 26?
123 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.33
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on April 14?
122 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.47
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 23?
113 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on July 1?$1.74Jun 30, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 22?$179.13May 22, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 22?$176.44May 21, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 17?$3.23May 16, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?$188.46May 14, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?$186.76May 13, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hang Seng (HSI) hit 18600 (LOW) in March?$0.00May 2, 22:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.40 on April 14?$190.63Apr 21, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.40 on April 14?$187.57Apr 15, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on April 14?$1.58Apr 14, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 22?$0.00Apr 14, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$3.28Mar 31, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 31?$0.00Mar 31, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hang Seng (HSI) hit 18600 (LOW) in March?$2.38Mar 31, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 21?$0.00Mar 30, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 29?$1.95Mar 29, 00:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.20 on March 27?$167.13Mar 29, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.20 on March 27?$165.79Mar 28, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 25?$2.08Mar 25, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 24?$1.54Mar 24, 10:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $52.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 09:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 21:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.