Sad-Hello
0x8c26230a9038081f3d1de93a3085e04ff2ce163e
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$136.23
Total PnL
$-16.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will XRP reach $1.50 June 8-14?
96 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$96.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
16 shares @ 92.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$14.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
14 shares @ 96.8¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.47
$-0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on June 13?
12 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$12.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 5?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
8 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.50 June 8-14?$96.02Jun 11, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on June 13?$12.00Jun 11, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$13.01Jun 11, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 6?$95.09Jun 11, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 6?$95.01Jun 3, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$13.00Jun 3, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$27.03Jun 3, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$80.16Jun 3, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$27.00May 28, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$80.01May 28, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,600 May 18-24?$100.30May 28, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$15.04May 21, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 May 18-24?$100.02May 21, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$30.06May 21, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $140 on May 13?$80.08May 21, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$30.00May 13, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $140 on May 13?$80.01May 10, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?$13.52May 10, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill gpt-5.5-high have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?$12.02May 10, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the April 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?$14.01May 10, 05:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $44.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 08:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 13:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.