0x8c2fa256c8690a6651d4db04ee7c1d08031564fa
0x8c2fa256c8690a6651d4db04ee7c1d08031564fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
15/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.9M
Realised
$-8.9M
Win rate
0%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
NBA: Will the Heat beat the Hawks by more than 7.5 points in their April 19, 7:30 PM ET matchup?
14689 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2022$0.00
$-7.3K
- YES
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of June 2022?
5915 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2022$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
Will OpenSea airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022?
5668 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2022$0.00
$-2.8K
- NO
NHL: Will the Hurricanes beat the Capitals by more than 1.5 goals in their March 28, 7:00 PM ET matchup?
1164 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2022$0.00
$-582.03
- TRAIL BLAZERS
NBA: Who will win Thunder vs. Trail Blazers, scheduled for March 28 (10 PM ET)?
1119 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2022$0.00
$-559.74
- YES
Will OlympusDAO (Ohm) suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022?
935 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2022$0.00
$-467.27
- SUNS
NBA: Hawks vs. Suns (02/01/2023)
702 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2023$0.00
$-351.10
- $2 FIRST
Will $ARB hit $1 or $2 first?
632 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-316.24
- GARCIA
Boxing: Gervonta Davis vs. Ryan Garcia
621 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2023$0.00
$-310.38
- YES
Will $USDT depeg by June 30?
466 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2023$0.00
$-233.22
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
70/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
200 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.