United-Dragonfly
0x8c3633fd9663a8503e6b9e9d9e6b29c1294ab9e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$1.01
Total PnL
$-107.79
Realised
$0.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 15?
1915 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
130 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
112 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
85 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-25.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 15?
50 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on February 15?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 15?
10 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
10 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
10 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$0.34May 9, 01:52 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$0.39May 9, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$1.00May 9, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$0.08May 9, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$5.14May 9, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$3.34May 9, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.02May 9, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.03May 9, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$0.00Mar 4, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.10Mar 4, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.00Feb 26, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$0.04Feb 26, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.00Feb 26, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$0.03Feb 26, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.00Feb 26, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$2.35Feb 26, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$2.00Feb 26, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$3.83Feb 26, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$3.00Feb 26, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.22Feb 26, 21:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 21:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 01:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".