Bad-Overcoat
0x8c364884fff52c83889a0c6c38563d1594fbc023
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-487.28
Realised
$-35.29
Win rate
80%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
383 shares @ 48.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-184.89
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
135 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
85 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-24.33
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
70 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
61 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
51 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
38 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?$1.02Jun 11, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$0.11Jun 11, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$5.20Jun 11, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5.26Jun 11, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$11.39Jun 11, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$10.02Jun 11, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$8.87Jun 11, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$13.37Jun 11, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$12.64Jun 11, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$13.35Jun 11, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.84Jun 11, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$3.11Jun 11, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$3.03Jun 11, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$6.23Jun 11, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$6.88Jun 11, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$5.17Jun 11, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$4.38Jun 11, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$4.12Jun 11, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$0.01Jun 11, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$4.08Jun 11, 11:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 11:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 18:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.