Fuzzy-Area
0x8c3ed17b2b0eb51630eb24b8d1a7703895963865
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-33.99
Win rate
0%
152 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 14?
33 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-16.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 16?
32 shares @ 57.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-18.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 15?
30 shares @ 53.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-15.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 18?
30 shares @ 65.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.00
$-19.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 27?
28 shares @ 65.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-18.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 18?
26 shares @ 51.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.00
$-13.46
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 16?
26 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-12.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 14?
26 shares @ 52.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-13.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 10?
24 shares @ 53.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-13.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 17?
24 shares @ 81.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-19.78
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 19?$4.90Aug 18, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 18?$30.51Aug 18, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 18?$30.21Aug 18, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 18?$26.40Aug 18, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 18?$10.12Aug 18, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 18?$6.43Aug 18, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 18?$7.76Aug 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 18?$6.83Aug 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 18?$6.32Aug 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 18?$6.56Aug 18, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 18?$6.51Aug 18, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 18?$6.28Aug 18, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 18?$6.34Aug 18, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 18?$6.48Aug 18, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 18?$6.52Aug 18, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 18?$6.51Aug 18, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 18?$7.02Aug 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 18?$6.98Aug 18, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 18?$6.37Aug 18, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 18?$6.46Aug 18, 03:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 152 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
152 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $10.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 06:24 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 15:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 152 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.