Sniveling-Chance
0x8c44dcfe1178aa04dfa44e000f5b89a054027baf
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.6K
Realised
$318.85
Win rate
82%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
3529 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-35.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
2600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
2177 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-35.17
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
1488 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
998 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-26.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
817 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-16.33
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
583 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-90.86
- UP
XRP Up or Down - April 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
569 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-75.53
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
456 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-43.30
- UP
XRP Up or Down - April 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
455 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-100.04
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.60Jul 22, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$5.49Jul 21, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$16.68Jul 20, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$35.60Jul 19, 01:04 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$13.51Jul 18, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$12.86Jul 17, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$17.38Jul 16, 00:48 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$16.45Jul 15, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$31.86Jul 14, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.97Jul 11, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$5.41Jul 10, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$8.11Jul 9, 00:48 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$5.75Jul 8, 00:55 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$83.58Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$191.24Jul 6, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$168.46Jul 5, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$24.96Jul 4, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$15.12Jul 2, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$52.65Jul 1, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$50.42Jun 29, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
82% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 13:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.