Dizzy-Choker
0x8c47a5483f0abc1a24096cdef86343fc3fcd2826
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.8K
Realised
$-91.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
30313 shares @ 44.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-13.4K
- NO
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?
2942 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- NO
Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?
1336 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2025$0.00
$-626.94
- NO
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?
1300 shares @ 49.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2025$0.00
$-649.02
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon Men's?
1230 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2024$0.00
$-504.66
- YES
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
402 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-24.91
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?$1.0KSep 7, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?$658.67Sep 6, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$2.15May 13, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.42May 13, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.78May 13, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$5.18May 13, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.74May 13, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.77May 13, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.79May 13, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.43May 13, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.64May 13, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.24May 13, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.55May 13, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.75May 13, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.73May 13, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.64May 13, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$6.10May 13, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$15.63May 13, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$33.56May 11, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?$591.37Feb 16, 14:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $521.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 27, 05:59 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 7, 04:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.