Full-Terrapin
0x8c4979f0581a3da32eab815206bdcbea244afbeb
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$475.39
Total PnL
$-6.3K
Realised
$64.47
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?
9379 shares @ 7.8¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$248.54
$-481.25
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?
7960 shares @ 11.2¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$226.85
$-664.39
- YES
Ethereum all time high by June 30?
4932 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-724.24
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 13-19?
3300 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2025$0.00
$-98.96
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
3182 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-149.99
- NO
Bitcoin above $98K on September 5?
2587 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
1613 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Solana all time high by June 30?
1159 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-244.00
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 22-28?
1129 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-250.04
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
1101 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $1.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.