Miserly-Bid
0x8c4f7d1b345247a5be0f15f05566d31001c808a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-468.04
Realised
$8.58
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?
4194 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-221.35
- NO
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
1104 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-79.80
- YES
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?
626 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?
233 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-67.76
- YES
Zama auction clearing price above $0.06?
148 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?
90 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-38.70
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
66 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?$15.32Jun 13, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$35.49Jun 12, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$50.72Jun 12, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$35.33Jun 11, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLZama FDV above $2B one day after launch?$0.05Feb 2, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $500M one day after launch?$18.92Feb 2, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $500M one day after launch?$19.78Feb 2, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $600M one day after launch?$15.00Feb 2, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $600M one day after launch?$22.08Feb 2, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $600M one day after launch?$14.20Feb 2, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $600M one day after launch?$16.28Feb 2, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $1B one day after launch?$12.71Feb 2, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.14Feb 2, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $1B one day after launch?$6.63Feb 2, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $1B one day after launch?$3.52Feb 2, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLInfinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?$23.86Jan 30, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLInfinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?$29.95Jan 30, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLInfinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?$10.27Jan 30, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLInfinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?$15.90Jan 29, 04:56 UTC
- TRADESELLInfinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?$70.60Jan 29, 04:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $96.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 28, 06:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 04:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.