0x8c5b67ccf4c2ce260554c26a5c27945735c4c6e4
0x8c5b67ccf4c2ce260554c26a5c27945735c4c6e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
155
Open notional
$156.36
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-1.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 155- ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
18 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$17.54
$7.54
- SWITZERLAND
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)
15 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$14.81
$2.81
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$14.61
$4.61
- NO
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
13 shares @ 72.0¢·now 92.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$12.49
$2.79
- NO
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
15 shares @ 66.2¢·now 80.3¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$12.12
$2.12
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
13 shares @ 77.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$12.01
$2.01
- NO
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
13 shares @ 77.7¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$12.01
$2.01
- YES
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.98
$0.99
- NO
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-07-21?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$9.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
13 shares @ 74.3¢·now 68.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$9.22
$-0.77
Recent activity
- REDEEMNew York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings$16.39Jul 21, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies$17.54Jul 21, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?$9.99Jul 20, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 20?$17.54Jul 20, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 20?$11.90Jul 20, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings$10.00Jul 20, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 20?$1.60Jul 20, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 20?$4.20Jul 20, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 20?$4.20Jul 20, 04:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 13-19?$15.62Jul 20, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$10.00Jul 20, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees$17.54Jul 20, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Puebla win on 2026-07-21?$9.99Jul 20, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.42Jul 20, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 20?$10.00Jul 20, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 20?$5.83Jul 20, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 20?$0.15Jul 20, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 20?$4.02Jul 20, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees$1.45Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees$2.85Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $5.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 16:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 02:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.