Disgusting-Plastic
0x8c5cdf6c96c7f96982c6c13de0f93fd95b16c842
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$75.46
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
19043 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-696.58
- YES
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
9569 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.55
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
8491 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-467.52
- YES
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?
4370 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-249.32
- YES
Big Game: Big Man TD?
2351 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-134.00
- YES
Will Tyler Warren be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
1669 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-81.42
- YES
Big Game: Scorigami?
1500 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1469 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-26.45
- USC
USC vs. Oregon
983 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-67.85
- YES
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
822 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-145.17
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $87.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 00:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.