Trivial-Reveal
0x8c60cefc34e9f62b0b9de3090243938926e49a82
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-415.58
Realised
$-114.85
Win rate
0%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 27?
229 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.06
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on July 2?
212 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,800 on January 26?
183 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.04
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 5?
159 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on January 30?
137 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on July 24?
137 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 24?
114 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-31.92
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 31?
107 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-104.97
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 22?
101 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 23?
98 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.77
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 10?$70.29Aug 10, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 10?$69.10Aug 10, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on July 24?$2.05Jul 23, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 8?$80.79Jul 8, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 8?$77.72Jul 7, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on July 2?$3.85Jul 1, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $60 on June 5?$2.89Jun 4, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?$77.92Jun 2, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?$0.14Jun 2, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?$76.38Jun 2, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 25?$62.58May 25, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 25?$0.08May 24, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 25?$60.75May 24, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 19?$1.31May 19, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 19?$3.38May 18, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?$3.57May 17, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 11?$1.90May 11, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 1?$15.73May 10, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 19?$66.76May 1, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 27?$1.25Apr 27, 09:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $24.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 17:54 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 16:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.