Hot-Mathematics
0x8c6336baf53729c40efc0a011d3d9147f44c02db
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-119.26
Realised
$0.28
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on April 21?
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21?
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10AM ET
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C or below on April 22?
312 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- NO
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
47 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
33 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.04May 20, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$1.03May 20, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$0.00May 20, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$1.04May 20, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.08May 20, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.00May 20, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.55May 20, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.04May 20, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$1.03May 20, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$1.04May 20, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$1.28May 20, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$1.12May 20, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$1.03May 20, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$1.03May 20, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$0.17May 20, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$1.03May 20, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$1.03May 20, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.02May 20, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.47May 20, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.04May 20, 01:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 23:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 19:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.