Official-Security
0x8c65191e411feec6c73aefbd74a55d246099dcf7
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
111
Open notional
$154.11
Total PnL
$-357.59
Realised
$28.37
Win rate
75%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 111- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 28?
50 shares @ 94.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$50.21
$2.80
- YES
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
113 shares @ 29.9¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.56
$0.68
- NO
Will Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be delayed?
46 shares @ 49.1¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2027$26.17
$3.62
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 28?
20 shares @ 86.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$20.39
$2.83
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 28?
11 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$11.24
$3.37
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 28?
8 shares @ 29.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$8.14
$5.76
- YES
Will Netflix win the most Emmys?
10 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$2.25
$-0.05
- YES
Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?
10 shares @ 20.3¢·now 11.1¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$1.11
$-0.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 28?
20 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.01
$-1.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?
11 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.01
$-1.46
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 28?$5.00Jul 28, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?$3.10Jul 28, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?$12.40Jul 28, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 28?$4.38Jul 28, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 28?$3.55Jul 28, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 28?$42.86Jul 28, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 28?$4.69Jul 28, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 28?$1.27Jul 28, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 28?$8.00Jul 28, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 28?$2.46Jul 28, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 28?$6.93Jul 28, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 28?$10.75Jul 28, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 28?$1.77Jul 28, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 28?$1.03Jul 28, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?$1.52Jul 28, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?$8.62Jul 28, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?$3.26Jul 28, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?$1.20Jul 28, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?$1.24Jul 28, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?$1.31Jul 28, 03:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $4.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 08:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 12:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.