Defenseless-Depression
0x8c69f74b974c44d6eb8f6c001f78ea1d119040aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-21.39
Realised
$12.73
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
2780 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-19.90
- NO
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.22
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating be between 44.0% and 44.9% on April 18?
116 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.0% and 46.9% on April 18?
70 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
6 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$2.00Jan 14, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$8.90Dec 10, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$11.00Dec 1, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be between 46.0% and 46.9% on April 18?$4.00Apr 18, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be between 44.0% and 44.9% on April 18?$4.00Apr 18, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 17?$1.00Apr 17, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump's approval rating be between 43.0% and 43.9% on April 18?$0.51Apr 17, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump's approval rating be between 44.0% and 44.9% on April 18?$1.81Apr 17, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump's approval rating be less than 43.0% on April 18?$1.57Apr 17, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump's approval rating be between 46.0% and 46.9% on April 18?$2.14Apr 17, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump's approval rating be 47.0% or higher on April 18?$2.48Apr 17, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be between 44.0% and 44.9% on April 18?$7.25Apr 16, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be between 46.0% and 46.9% on April 18?$5.00Apr 16, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be less than 43.0% on April 18?$5.00Apr 16, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be between 43.0% and 43.9% on April 18?$5.00Apr 16, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be between 43.0% and 43.9% on April 18?$5.00Apr 16, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be 47.0% or higher on April 18?$5.00Apr 16, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump lower tariffs on China in April? $30.80Apr 16, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump lower tariffs on China in April? $2.00Apr 16, 03:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $5.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 03:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 23:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".