Obedient-Bathhouse
0x8c6ecfde246600966d315a07a8612298591e6388
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
55
Open notional
$20.25
Total PnL
$-34.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
8 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$8.11
$0.11
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Frank Crivello win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Chris Moneymaker win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 15, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 4, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 26, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "World Cup" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$1.00Dec 10, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 8, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?$1.00Dec 8, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill between 380 and 389 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?$1.00Dec 8, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 20?$1.01Dec 8, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$1.01Dec 8, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?$1.01Dec 8, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$1.01Dec 8, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?$1.01Dec 8, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 19?$1.01Dec 8, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?$1.01Dec 8, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.01Dec 8, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$1.02Dec 8, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?$1.00Dec 5, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$1.00Dec 4, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Van Epps win TN-07 by 10–15%?$1.00Dec 3, 07:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 07:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 02:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".