Violent-Crisp
0x8c7b428ec7a5a7c6e0ac2a380acb7dd3097c2185
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-39.99
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
1200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1053 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 18?
968 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- NO
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?
917 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-115.00
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by October 31?
847 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
545 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
455 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
135 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Apple release AirTag 2 this year?$12.50Jan 9, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$306.12Dec 10, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$341.73Dec 10, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMHouse passes Epstein disclosure bill on Tuesday?$0.00Nov 19, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouse passes Epstein disclosure bill on Tuesday?$500.00Nov 18, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouse passes Epstein disclosure bill on Tuesday?$50.00Nov 18, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 18?$40.00Nov 18, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 18?$20.00Nov 18, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$20.00Nov 18, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$150.00Nov 18, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouse passes Epstein disclosure bill on Tuesday?$20.00Nov 18, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$316.71Nov 4, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?$526.32Nov 4, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Israel by October 15?$15.00Oct 9, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Israel by October 15?$100.00Oct 9, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end October 3-5?$198.61Oct 6, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 3-5?$182.72Oct 1, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by October 31?$250.00Oct 1, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown by October 1?$432.72Oct 1, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$376.47Sep 30, 18:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $97.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 31, 10:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 9, 06:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.