Scrawny-Outlay
0x8c825d59eef870b7542b089874ea22cf9c847920
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$129.17
Total PnL
$21.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Nevada rally on Oct 31?
129 shares @ 77.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$129.17
$29.17
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Hannity interview?
103 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Nevada rally on Oct 31?
91 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?$641.51Nov 25, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?$121.10Nov 11, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5 released in 2024?$121.11Nov 11, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?$100.00Nov 7, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.0KNov 6, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$9.27Nov 6, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$47.34Nov 4, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$100.00Nov 3, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "John McGuire" during Virginia rally on Nov 2?$0.00Nov 3, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "women's sports" during Virginia rally on Nov 2?$0.00Nov 3, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "tampon" during Virginia rally on Nov 2?$0.00Nov 3, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "tax" 20 or more times during Virginia rally on Nov 2?$0.00Nov 3, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Virginia rally on Nov 2?$89.29Nov 3, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "women's sports" during Virginia rally on Nov 2?$10.00Nov 2, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "John McGuire" during Virginia rally on Nov 2?$20.00Nov 2, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Virginia rally on Nov 2?$50.00Nov 2, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "tax" 20 or more times during Virginia rally on Nov 2?$50.00Nov 2, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "tampon" during Virginia rally on Nov 2?$10.00Nov 2, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "tampon" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?$0.00Nov 2, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "McDonald's" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?$0.00Nov 2, 11:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $46.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 10:11 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 25, 12:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".