Tiny-Solicitation
0x8c8348d69ed63711179fdf58b1ae6edda327e4e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$4.42
Realised
$-3.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
581 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$569.67
$-0.51
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
566 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$566.00
$3.40
- ADRIAN MANNARINO
Wimbledon ATP: Adrian Mannarino vs Titouan Droguet
12 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$12.00
$4.44
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.52
$0.32
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$6.94Jun 30, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$393.15Jun 30, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon ATP: Adrian Mannarino vs Titouan Droguet$7.64Jun 30, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$200.00Jun 30, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$331.95Jun 5, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$177.56May 31, 03:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$5.30May 31, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?$5.41May 31, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?$5.58May 26, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$7.84May 26, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$562.84May 26, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$529.96Apr 30, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMMadrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Benjamin Bonzi$1.3KApr 25, 04:35 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.32Apr 25, 01:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Apr 25, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Benjamin Bonzi$396.48Apr 24, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Benjamin Bonzi$98.40Apr 24, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Benjamin Bonzi$434.34Apr 24, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Benjamin Bonzi$136.78Apr 24, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$863.40Apr 24, 15:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $571.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 00:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 09:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.