0x8c85ac298ac252cfe579afef0a5443eec16d8ecd
0x8c85ac298ac252cfe579afef0a5443eec16d8ecd
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-20.45
Realised
$-2.07
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on March 11?
7483 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-7.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on March 22?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 22?
607 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on March 22?
263 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on March 22?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 24?
29 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.88
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on March 23?
27 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 24?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 24?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on March 23?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 on March 23?$1.01Mar 24, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 24?$0.10Mar 23, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 24?$0.45Mar 23, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 24?$0.28Mar 23, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 24?$0.31Mar 23, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 24?$0.03Mar 23, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 24?$0.01Mar 23, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 24?$0.30Mar 23, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 24?$0.70Mar 23, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 24?$0.73Mar 23, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $73,000 on March 23?$1.02Mar 23, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on March 22?$1.00Mar 22, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on March 22?$0.06Mar 22, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 22?$0.18Mar 22, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on March 22?$0.04Mar 22, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 22?$0.07Mar 22, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on March 22?$0.65Mar 22, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 22?$0.14Mar 22, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 22?$0.29Mar 22, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on March 22?$0.37Mar 22, 10:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 03:01 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.