Voluminous-Llama
0x8c8c55626fdab17488deffe721ade5434a30c1a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
104
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-427.46
Realised
$34.57
Win rate
75%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 104- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on February 7?
208 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
161 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 7?
126 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
110 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 7?
100 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
76 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$9.89Jul 22, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$5.17Jul 22, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$16.30Jul 22, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$5.24Jul 22, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$5.68Jul 22, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$5.04Jul 22, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$5.16Jul 22, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$7.04Jul 22, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$5.10Jul 22, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$6.79Jul 22, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$5.11Jul 22, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$6.92Jul 22, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$5.17Jul 22, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$5.22Jul 22, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$5.22Jul 22, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$5.21Jul 22, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$5.12Jul 22, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$6.58Jul 21, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$5.20Jul 21, 20:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $5.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 18:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.