Hairy-Chief
0x8c93afc220472271f746914b69b9da91c2a88967
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$151.76
Total PnL
$-132.53
Realised
$1.35
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 24?
99 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$84.52
$0.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 24?
74 shares @ 41.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$34.16
$3.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 24?
100 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$30.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on June 23?
31 shares @ 37.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$2.51
$-9.11
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 22?
100 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.05
$-20.95
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on June 22?
55 shares @ 42.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.03
$-23.52
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 21?
200 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 22?
100 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?$100.00Jun 22, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 24?$10.81Jun 22, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?$10.50Jun 22, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?$5.64Jun 22, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?$26.25Jun 22, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?$10.50Jun 22, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?$15.75Jun 22, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?$15.36Jun 22, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 24?$1.00Jun 22, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 24?$30.44Jun 22, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 24?$3.47Jun 22, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 24?$3.47Jun 22, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 24?$3.47Jun 22, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 24?$0.14Jun 22, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 24?$15.57Jun 22, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 24?$0.43Jun 22, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 24?$24.34Jun 22, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 24?$15.00Jun 22, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 24?$3.12Jun 22, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 24?$18.13Jun 22, 12:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $19.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 20:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 19:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.