Pleasing-Brushfire
0x8c95d122797772189d8d08af4063210a346d3406
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$162.26
Total PnL
$-0.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Newcastle be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
160 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$160.00
$0.32
- YES
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
170 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.96
$0.09
- YES
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
620 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.31
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$159.84Jun 9, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.21Jun 3, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.53Jun 2, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.40Jun 2, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.67Jun 2, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.24Jun 1, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.48Jun 1, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.08Jun 1, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.33Jun 1, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.64Jun 1, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.36Jun 1, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.89Jun 1, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.42Jun 1, 08:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$159.84May 31, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$209.57May 31, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$209.80May 31, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$238.25May 31, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.33May 31, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$238.62May 31, 10:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $98.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 14:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 10:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.