Foolhardy-Diplomacy
0x8ca354901c40e9126120b3f790aba306c4d453ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-572.98
Realised
$-44.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Liberal Party win less than 35% of the vote in the 2025 Canadian election?
3205 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-259.88
- YES
Will the Liberal Party win between 35% and 38% of the vote in the 2025 Canadian election?
698 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-70.50
- YES
Will the Liberal Party win between 38% and 41% of the vote in the 2025 Canadian election?
675 shares @ 25.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-170.94
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
83 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-7.48
- NO
Will the Dodgers beat the Blue Jays 4-3
26 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$7.48Nov 4, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLCardinals vs. Cowboys$7.47Nov 4, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCardinals vs. Cowboys$26.16Nov 4, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$26.17Nov 4, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$26.14Nov 4, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 3?$26.08Nov 3, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 3?$22.90Nov 3, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMBroncos vs. Texans$22.96Nov 3, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Dodgers beat the Blue Jays 4-3$20.00Nov 2, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBroncos vs. Texans$10.56Nov 2, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?$30.56Nov 2, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?$20.70Nov 1, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on October 31?$20.70Oct 31, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on October 31?$20.42Oct 31, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say the "N word" in November?$20.37Oct 31, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say the "N word" in November?$19.60Oct 31, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$19.65Oct 31, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$18.60Oct 28, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$18.40Oct 28, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$18.00Oct 28, 16:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $27.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 05:37 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 4, 03:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".